Inevitability

Repeat after me...

Hillary Clinton's nomination is inevitable.
Hillary Clinton's nomination is inevitable.
Hillary Clinton's nomination is inevitable.
Hillary Clinton's nomination is inevitable.

Noone cares about the Clintons' "honoraria" or the Foundation's "contributions".
Noone cares about the Clintons' "honoraria" or the Foundation's "contributions".
Noone cares about the Clintons' "honoraria" or the Foundation's "contributions".
Noone cares about the Clintons' "honoraria" or the Foundation's "contributions".

There's noone else.
There's noone else.
There's noone else.
There's noone else.

Poll after poll show that Hillary Clinton's favorability ratings are plunging. Take one pollster-CNN:

5/29/14-6/1/14: 55+, 42-, 3 undecided (net 13+)
11/21/14-11/23/14: 59+, 38+, 2 U (net 21+)
3/13/15-3/15/15: 53+ 44-, 2 U (net 9+)
5/29/15-5/31/15: 46+, 50-, 3 (net 4-)

Here's how she is doing head-to-head with possible GOP nominees:

4/20/15:

General Election: Bush vs. Clinton	CNN/Opinion Research	Clinton 56, Bush 39	Clinton +17
General Election: Walker vs. Clinton	CNN/Opinion Research	Clinton 59, Walker 37	Clinton +22
General Election: Paul vs. Clinton	CNN/Opinion Research	Clinton 58, Paul 39	Clinton +19
General Election: Cruz vs. Clinton	CNN/Opinion Research	Clinton 60, Cruz 36	Clinton +24
General Election: Rubio vs. Clinton	CNN/Opinion Research	Clinton 55, Rubio 41	Clinton +14
General Election: Christie vs. Clinton	CNN/Opinion Research	Clinton 58, Christie 39	Clinton +19
General Election: Huckabee vs. Clinton	CNN/Opinion Research	Clinton 58, Huckabee 37	Clinton +21
General Election: Carson vs. Clinton	CNN/Opinion Research	Clinton 60, Carson 36	Clinton +24

6/2/15:

Race/Topic   (Click to Sort)	Poll	Results	Spread
General Election: Bush vs. Clinton	CNN/Opinion Research	Clinton 51, Bush 43	Clinton +8
General Election: Walker vs. Clinton	CNN/Opinion Research	Clinton 49, Walker 46	Clinton +3
General Election: Rubio vs. Clinton	CNN/Opinion Research	Clinton 49, Rubio 46	Clinton +3
General Election: Paul vs. Clinton	CNN/Opinion Research	Clinton 48, Paul 47	Clinton +1
General Election: Cruz vs. Clinton	CNN/Opinion Research	Clinton 52, Cruz 43	Clinton +9
General Election: Bush vs. Clinton	ABC/Wash Post	Clinton 47, Bush 44	Clinton +3

Her support among Democrats is even suffering:

oll	Date	Sample	Clinton	Sanders	Biden	O'Malley	Webb	Chafee	Spread
RCP Average	5/19 - 6/2	--	59.0	11.5	11.3	2.3	1.5	0.8	Clinton +47.5
FOX News	5/31 - 6/2	395 RV	57	11	8	4	2	1	Clinton +46
CNN/Opinion Research	5/29 - 5/31	433 A	60	10	14	1	2	0	Clinton +46
ABC News/Wash Post	5/28 - 5/31	376 RV	62	10	14	3	1	1	Clinton +48
Quinnipiac	5/19 - 5/26	748 RV	57	15	9	1	1	1	Clinton +42
FOX News	5/9 - 5/12	370 LV	63	6	6	0	2	0	Clinton +50
PPP (D)	5/7 - 5/10	600 RV	63	13	--	2	6	5	Clinton +50
FOX News	4/19 - 4/21	388 LV	62	4	9	1	0	0	Clinton +50
Quinnipiac	4/16 - 4/21	569 RV	60	8	10	3	1	0	Clinton +50
CNN/Opinion Research	4/16 - 4/19	458 A	69	5	11	1	3	1	Clinton +58
FOX News	3/29 - 3/31	397 LV	61	3	12	2	1	--	Clinton +49
PPP (D)	3/26 - 3/31	449 RV	54	6	7	3	2	--	Clinton +40
ABC News/Wash Post	3/26 - 3/29	RV	66	5	12	0	1	--	Clinton +54
CNN/Opinion Research	3/13 - 3/15	466 A	62	3	15	1	1	--	Clinton +47
McClatchy/Marist	3/1 - 3/4	462 RV	60	5	13	1	1	--	Clinton +47
Quinnipiac	2/26 - 3/2	493 RV	56	4	10	0	1	--	Clinton +42
PPP (D)	2/20 - 2/22	310 RV	54	5	16	1	2	--	Clinton +38
CNN/Opinion Research	2/12 - 2/15	RV	60	3	15	1	2	--	Clinton +45
FOX News	1/25 - 1/27	390 RV	55	3	17	2	1	--	Clinton +38
PPP (D)	1/22 - 1/25	386 RV	60	2	15	1	1	--	Clinton +45
Rasmussen Reports	1/18 - 1/19	648 LV	59	4	6	2	3	--	Clinton +47
CNN/Opinion Research	12/18 - 12/21	469 A	66	3	8	1	1	--	Clinton +57
ABC News/Wash Post	12/11 - 12/14	346 RV	61	4	14	0	3	--	Clinton +47
FOX News	12/7 - 12/9	409 RV	62	3	10	1	1	--	Clinton +50
McClatchy/Marist	12/3 - 12/9	429 RV	62	4	11	1	1	--	Clinton +51
CNN/Opinion Research	11/21 - 11/23	457 A	65	5	9	0	1	--	Clinton +55
Quinnipiac	11/18 - 11/23	610 RV	57	4	9	1	1	--	Clinton +44
Rasmussen Reports	11/20 - 11/21	LV	62	--	7	2	2	--	Clinton +45
ABC News/Wash Post	10/9 - 10/12	RV	64	1	13	1	2	--	Clinton +51
McClatchy/Marist	9/24 - 9/29	408 RV	64	4	15	2	1	--	Clinton +49
FOX News	7/20 - 7/22	438 RV	64	--	12	1	--	--	Clinton +52
CNN/Opinion Research	7/18 - 7/20	449 A	67	--	8	2	--	--	Clinton +57
Quinnipiac	6/24 - 6/30	610 RV	58	--	9	1	--	--	Clinton +47
ABC News/Wash Post	5/29 - 6/1	RV	69	2	12	2	1	--	Clinton +57
FOX News	4/13 - 4/15	395 RV	69	--	14	1	--	--	Clinton +55
Reason-Rupe/PSRAI	3/26 - 3/30	A	64	--	11	--	--	--	Clinton +53
CNN/Opinion Research	3/7 - 3/9	372 A	64	--	13	4	--	--	Clinton +51
PPP (D)	3/6 - 3/9	429 RV	66	--	11	2	--	--	Clinton +55
PPP (D)	1/23 - 1/26	334 RV	67	--	7	1	--	--	Clinton +60
ABC News/Wash Post	1/20 - 1/23	RV	73	--	11	--	--	--	Clinton +62
Quinnipiac	1/15 - 1/19	803 RV	65	--	8	1	--	--	Clinton +57
FOX News	12/14 - 12/16	412 RV	68	--	12	1	--	--	Clinton +56
PPP (D)	12/12 - 12/15	453 RV	66	--	10	2	--	--	Clinton +56
Quinnipiac	12/3 - 12/9	1095 RV	66	--	8	0	--	--	Clinton +58
McClatchy/Marist	12/3 - 12/5	466 RV	65	--	12	1	--	--	Clinton +53
CNN/Opinion Research	11/18 - 11/20	RV	64	--	12	2	--	--	Clinton +52
Rasmussen Reports	11/7 - 11/8	LV	70	--	10	0	--	--	Clinton +60
PPP (D)	10/29 - 10/31	400 RV	67	--	12	2	--	--	Clinton +55
Quinnipiac	9/23 - 9/29	RV	61	--	11	0	--	--	Clinton +50
CNN/Opinion Research	9/6 - 9/8	448 RV	65	--	10	2	--	--	Clinton +55
Rasmussen Reports	8/1 - 8/2	LV	63	--	12	1	--	--	Clinton +51
PPP (D)	7/19 - 7/21	418 RV	52	--	12	1	--	--	Clinton +40
McClatchy/Marist	7/15 - 7/18	426 RV	63	--	13	1	--	--	Clinton +50
PPP (D)	5/6 - 5/9	589 RV	63	--	13	2	--	--	Clinton +50
Quinnipiac	4/25 - 4/29	RV	65	--	13	1	--	--	Clinton +52
PPP (D)	3/27 - 3/30	666 RV	64	--	18	1	--	--	Clinton +46
PPP (D)	1/31 - 2/3	416 RV	58	--	19	1	--	--	Clinton +39
PPP (D)	1/3 - 1/6	400 RV	57	--	16	3	--	--	Clinton +41
PPP (D)	11/30 - 12/2	454 RV	61	--	12	2	--	--	Clinton +49

If Bernie Sanders is polling over 10% and Joe Biden is tied with him despite not having said a word about running, there's an opening. 

Oh, yes, she's leading in the polls. So were Lyndon Johnson in 1967, Edmund Muskie in 1971, Scoop Washington in November 1975, Edward Kennedy in November 1979, Mario Cuomo in 1991, and Hillary Clinton in November 2007. 

Noone is inevitable.  

If anyone is silly enough to disregard the fact that Clinton has very heavy baggage that is costing her and is likely to get worse once she comes under attack, what can we say?

Nature abhors a vacuum. So does politics.

Is there an alternative? Yes.

Joe Biden. Martin O'Malley. Elizabeth Warren. Mark Warner. 

Nature will take its course.

Traffic Woes

Everyone complains about traffic...here in Miami and around the world. I decided, after years of frustration at the wheel, to ask questions rather than simply pound my steering wheel driving home on U.S. 1.

I decided to look into traffic management policies and practices in the U.S., and then seek to determine how effective a job Miami-Dade County Government has done in its management of traffic flow on its arterial (non-freeway) roads. 

I started with two premises: first, no local government can do anything but nibble at the edges of the problem-- save 5-15% of the time and gasoline wasted because of excessive delays; second, it is not fair to blame a local government for doing a bad job without burrowing in to learn the facts.

The individualistic nature of the American culture ethos it extremely unlikely that major segments of the driving population will give up their "right" to drive to and from work by themselves in their own car. Efforts to cure the problem of traffic delays by spending billions of dollars on mass transit--buoyed by inappropriate allusions to New York City--are, in my view, very limited in their likely effect. Communities like Miami-Dade, built on the basis of single-family homes in developments as far as the eye can see, are dependent on the automobile. Hundreds of billions of dollars have been spent building that structure. People have moved far away from job locations because they were seduced by lower home prices; who can afford to factor in the costs of gasoline, car depreciation and lost time, when the primary issue is how to get the most square feet in a single-family home for the least money? 

Realistically, therefore, focusing on mass transit as a cure to urban sprawl  and traffic congestion is, at best, only part of the solution. Another huge portion of the solution is effective traffic management. 

Arterial roadways in Miami-Dade County are planned, designed, constructed and maintained by the Public Works and Waste Management Department. That responsibility has been delegated to the Department’s Traffic Signal and Signs Division (TS&S). From a review of the Department's 2015-16 budget request, it appears that this Division may be understaffed and under financed. If this is so, it's a reflection not on the importance that effective traffic management has to the public, but rather on the importance that it has to County Commissioners and the Mayor.

Despite the fact that traffic congestion is probably among the top three topic when people get together, traffic management does not seem to have been an important governmental priority.

Here in Miami-Dade, for example, a recent Transportation Summit was convoked. As far as I could tell from poring over the Summit's website, not a single word was said about traffic management. This is not to criticize the Summit, its organization or its speakers, yet the absence of this subject from the Summit reveals how low a priority this subject appears to have. 

Another example is how the County Commission's Transit and Mobility Services Committee, chaired by Commissioner Esteban Bovo, sees its job:

The Transit and Mobility Services Committee will focus on improving workforce mobility, providing cost-effective alternatives to private vehicle ownership and dependency. The committee will invite all major employers to provide input for transit service improvements; will invite colleges and universities to become transit partners to improve student mobility options; will seek greater coordination with municipal circulator services; explore cost-sharing agreements with MDX to subsidize transit parking facilities; will evaluate the feasibility of providing dedicated public transportation services connecting Fort Lauderdale International Airport and Miami International Airport; will evaluate transit services to PortMiami for crews, workers and cruise passengers; will propose roadway safety improvements for pedestrians and cyclists; will coordinate with the GMVCB to promote transit service options for visitors; will develop policies to ensure reliable taxi and limousine services remain available, accessible and viable; and, will evaluate and develop appropriate regulations for alternative transportation services offered through mobility apps.Primary Funding Sources: transit sales surtax, countywide general fund, fares
Departments and Affiliated Agencies: Miami-Dade Transit; Citizens Independent Transportation Trust; Regulatory and Economic Resources; Public Works and Waste Management; Metropolitan Planning Organization; Miami-Dade Expressway Authority; Florida East Coast Railway; and, All Aboard Florida. 

It is encouraging to read that Commissioner Bovo intends to look at traffic management -- not a surprising development since the Herald has recently begun agitating about it. Let's hope he is primarily interested in facts and nuances and not headlines. 

So, back to my own study. I started off by making two Public Records Act requests to the  County's Public Works and Solid Waste Management Department, within which is located the Traffic Signs and Signals Division, which oversees the County's 2850+ traffic signals. I'll let my recent letter to Deputy Mayor/Department Director Ilana Hudak show what has occurred so far. Despite the disappointing response to my two requests, I'm still hopeful that I can get access to more documents, meet with TS&S personnel, and issue my report.

March 17, 2015 

BY HAND DELIVERY 

Ms. Alina T. HudakDeputy Mayor and Director of the Public Works and Waste Management Department Miami-Dade County 111 NW 1st Street, 16th FloorMiami, FL 33128Re: Public Records Act Requests 

Dear Ms. Hudak: 

This letter relates to responses of the Traffic Signals and Signs Division (“TS&S”) of the Public Works and Waste Management Department (“Department”) to two recent requests for public records I made concerning the County’s management of traffic on its roads. I believe that these responses were inadequate and that the County is therefore in violation of the Florida Public Records Act. The Act requires a good faith response to a records request, including a diligent search. 

The County, through TS&S, has stated that many of the records do not exist or cannot be found. As I discuss in this letter in reference to the specific requests and responses, it is extremely unlikely that the records requested do not exist, and, if they exist and cannot be found, that indicates either a grossly deficient record-keeping system or a simple failure to exert a reasonable effort to locate the records. I have been provided a copy of what appears to be the 2015-16 budget request of your Department, which makes it appear that record-keeping practices at TS&S are both primitive and under-staffed. As discussed below, it even appears that staff members who have left TS&S have taken records with them. 

Despite this, if the record-keeping practices of the Department and of TS&S are inadequate and make it difficult to find particular records, this does not provide a basis for failing to comply with the Act. Otherwise, the statutory and constitutional requirements designed to promote prompt access to non-exempt public records would be easily thwarted. 

I reserve the right to file an action in Circuit Court compelling compliance with the Act, but obviously I would prefer that the matter be handled cooperatively and without the need for litigation. It is my genuine belief that an inadequate search has been made for pubic records responsive to my two requests. I respectfully request that the County institute an effective search for the documents I have requested and that it promptly provide me the documents.

Ms. Alina T. Hudak 

March 17, 2015 

Page 2 

Incidentally, although the Act pertains to any request for a pubic record by “any person,” and the motivation of a person seeking public records is irrelevant, although a member of the Florida Bar, I am pursuing this matter on my own and not as a representative or surrogate of any person. After years of frustration driving on the roads of this County, I decided to “dig in” and attempt to determine the effectiveness of the County’s efforts to manage traffic. The underlying theory of my effort is that it is not enough to complain, and it is unfair to blame the government for failure to mitigate traffic congestion without knowing the facts about its efforts to improve traffic flow. 

After doing extensive research into traffic management techniques throughout the United States, I made two requests for public records from the County. On February 3, 2015, I submitted an email to the Department, stating, in pertinent part: 

Pursuant to Chapter 119, Florida Statutes, I hereby request that I be permitted to inspect and copy the following documents (all from 2010 to the present): 

1. All evaluations of the effectiveness of the Advanced Traffic Management System (ATMS). 

2. All budget requests related to the ATMS. 

3. All documents describing or setting of operational goals for traffic flow. 

On February 24, 2015, Frank Aira, the Chief of TS&S, responded to the February 3, 2015 request by the following email, accompanied by 19 electronic documents: 

My apologies for the delay in responding. The documents you requested have not been easy to find. The current ATMS project began in 2002, and there is little in the form of documents we could find to meet your request. Many of the staff that were here at the time the project was being planned and started have long since retired and with them there [sic] files so there is little in terms of past records. Also, one of the flaws in the ATMS project was that there was no before and after traffic studies. Staff and I have searched our records to find any records that may assist you, and have been able to put together the attached files. At this time, these are the files we have been able to or find; they are in electronic format so there is no reproduction costs. We will continue to search for any other files that may be pertinent to your request. 

The reasons that this response is inadequate are as follows. First, my February 3, 2015 request asked for “[a]ll evaluations of the effectiveness of the Advanced Traffic Management System (ATMS).” None of the documents provided included anything that could be called an evaluation of the effectiveness of the ATMS. Given the history, importance and cost of the ATMS, summarized below, it simply defies rational belief that the County has no such documents.

Ms. Alina T. Hudak

March 17, 2015 

Page 3

 The County has long been working on the planning, acquisition, installation and operation of an ATMS, which was described in a 1996 County document as “an advanced traffic management system with the capacity to control the operation of existing and future traffic signals throughout Dade County, and the capability to incorporate intelligent transportation system components such as adaptive signal control, motorist information dissemination, vehicle identification and location, incident detection, etc.” Miami-Dade Legislative Item, File Number 962081, July 18, 1996, available at http://www.miamidade.gov/govaction/matter.asp?matter=962081&file =false&yearFolder=Y1996 (last accessed March 14, 2015) (“1996 Leg.Item”). 

The new system was required because, according to the County, the then-existing computerized traffic management control system was found to be lacking many basic traffic control techniques offered by more modern systems, including adaptive traffic control management, which was specifically discussed in 1996 as one of the attributes of a new system. http://www.miamidade.gov/- publicworks/background.asp (last accessed March 14, 2015). 

“Adaptive Traffic Control Systems (ATCSs) adjust, in real time, signal timings based on the current traffic conditions, demand, and system capacity.” National Cooperative Highway Research Program, Adaptive Traffic Control Systems: Domestic and Foreign State of Practice (2010), 1, available at http://onlinepubs.trb.org/onlinepubs/ nchrp/nchrp_-syn_403.pdf (last accessed March 16, 2015). The County is just now beginning a pilot program to implement adaptive traffic control systems. TS&S, Traffic Signal and Signs Division—Business Plan, Dec. 8, 2014. 

In July 1996, the Commission awarded a contact to a local engineer to develop such a system. 1996 Leg.Item. The initial effort with the local engineer failed. On February 1, 2005, the County Commission approved a waiver of competitive bidding and permitted the Department to acquire such a system without competitive bidding on the basis of a staff review of available “off-theshelf” systems. The stated purpose of the no-bid and off-the-shelf approach was to speed up the process of acquiring, installing and putting the system into operation. Miami-Dade Legislative Item, File Number 050002, March 1, 2005, available at http://www.miamidade.gov/govaction/matter.asp?matter =050002&file=-true&yearFolder=Y2005 (last accessed March 14, 2015) (2005 Leg.Item). The Department originally budgeted $40 million for the ATMS. Id. From the documents provided to me and available on the Web, I cannot determine how much has been spent on this project. I can only assume that it amounts to substantially more than $40,000,000. 

Ten years into this new project, the County publicly describes the ATMS as follows: 

The County's new Advanced Traffic Management System (ATMS) is a state-of-the-art, distributed traffic signal monitor and control system that is the most important tool at the staff's disposal to accomplish that goal.

Ms. Alina T. Hudak

March 17, 2015

Page 4 

The ATMS helps to assure that optimum traffic signal operations are in place at all locations and all times-of-day. It also monitors the performance of the signals and automatically notifies appropriate staff when a traffic signal malfunctions, enabling staff to respond with maximum efficiency and effectiveness. *** 

The Miami-Dade County Advanced Traffic Management System will reduce delays and improve mobility within the County. Traffic flow will be improved by reducing congestion on roadways County-wide as major arterials are coordinated to run more like an integrated network system rather than individual entities.

http://www.miamidade.gov/publicworks/advanced-traffic.asp (last accessed March 14, 2014). 

According to Mr. Aira’s response to my request, the County installed the ATMS without even conducting a “before-and-after” analysis to measure the effectiveness of the ATMS in reducing traffic congestion and improving traffic flow. This is extremely difficult to accept, because the County states that the ATMS “will reduce delays and improve mobility within the County,” and that “[t]raffic flow will be improved by reducing congestion on roadways County-wide as major arterials are coordinated to run more like an integrated network system rather than individual entities.” How can one measure whether these laudable goals have been met without a comprehensive “beforeand- after” measurement? If this is true, it would be a sad commentary on the quality of the County’s efforts in this area. 

But even assuming Mr. Aira’s response is correct, it does not mean that there have been no “evaluations of the effectiveness” of the ATMS. This system has been in the installation and testing mode since the late 2000s. The Department’s website describes testing of the ATMS at sixteen intersections in 2005, which led to the decision to go to “full deployment.” http://www.miamidade.gov/-publicworks/ background.asp (last accessed March 17, 2015). The County has just finished tying in the roughly 2850 traffic signals to the ATMS. Is one seriously to believe that there is not a single record discussing the effectiveness of the ATMS—even an informal evaluation, an evaluation regarding only a portion of the County’s roads? The very wording of Mr. Aira’s response, referring to “one of the flaws of the ATMS project” strongly suggests that, like any large-scale civil engineering project, this one has had its ups and downs. A diligent search measuring up to the requirements of the Act should be engaged in to locate and provide me those records. 

Second, the February 3, 2015 request also sought “[a]ll documents describing or setting of operational goals for traffic flow.” The only record produced to me is a onepage document dating from early 2009 entitled “Goals of the Miami-Dade County Advanced Traffic Management System Project.” It states that the “primary goal” is “improve traffic flow on Miami-Dade Arterials,” and there is no further discussion of that general goal. While stating a laudable general goal, this record is not a serious, indepth discussion of that goal. Again, it is completely unreasonable to believe that this is

Ms. Alina T. Hudak

March 17, 2015 

Page 5 

the only record describing or setting operational goals for traffic flow. How else would one determine whether the goal of improving traffic flow has been achieved but by comparing results to specific goals? Again, a diligent search for such records should be made. 

On March 4, 2015, I emailed Mr. Aira a second request for documents, seeking: 

1. the County's traffic control/traffic management handbook 

2. documents describing the usages since 2010 of impact fees and the constitutional gas tax. [sic] 

3. ratings of individual intersections for traffic flow, congestion or some other measure, on a number or letter scale 4. the County’s responses to questionnaires or surveys from the following reports and/or TRB syntheses: 

a. NTOC, 2011 Traffic Signal Operations Self Assessment (NTOC) (report cards published in 2012) 

b. An Overview of TMC Practices– Results from a Nationwide Survey (Zhang, Jin, Wu-FIU) (unsure of date of report… attached to this email) 

c. Transportation Research Board, Active Traffic Management for Arterials (report published in 2013 as NCHRP Synthesis 447) 

d. Traffic Signal Retiming Practices in the United States, A Synthesis of Highway Practice (report published in 2010 as NCHRP Synthesis 409) 

e. Transportation Research Board, Adaptive Traffic Control Systems: Domestic and Foreign: State of Practice (report published in 2010 as NCHRP Synthesis 403) 

By email dated March 13, 2015, Mr. Aira responded as follows: 

My apologies for the delay in responding. We have are [sic] no files or records for your request. 

1. The County has not established an Traffic Engineering Manual; and for the most part follows FDOT’s Traffic Engineering Manual[.] 

2. Summaries of Road Impact Fees and Gas Tax usage and allocations are not maintained by TSS, this is a matter that will need to be requested for the County’s Budget Office.

Ms. Alina T. Hudak 

March 17, 2015

Page 6 

3. TSS does not maintain a LOS grading of roads or intersections. Typically these measures are established through Traffic Studies that are conducted periodically to address specific projects or initiates and are performed for specific corridors. The FDOT does maintain traffic count stations throughout the County, but I don’t believe there is a roadway evaluation or score attached to the data collected as a continuous task. This request is too broad, you will need to be specific to a corridor or intersection, and then Traffic Engineering will need to find if a study exists. 

4. TSS ca not [sic[ locate or find any records of responses to questionnaires or surveys to the publications listed in the request. 

Once again, this response is inadequate. 

First, Mr. Aira refers me to, but does not provide, FDOT’s Traffic Engineering Manual, which he states the County “for the most part follows.” A proper response would have provided me the State’s Manual and would have provided me records showing how the County does not follow the State’s Manual and what standards, in that respect, it does follow. 

Second, without conceding the correctness of Mr. Aira’s position regarding grading or roads and intersections, and without prejudice to renewing my original request, I hereby request the records regarding the following corridors and the intersections within: U.S. 1 (reading south) from the end of I-95 to Kendall Driver, or the corridor that includes this road; the Biscayne Boulevard Corridor as defined (defined as U.S. Route 1 from the Downtown Miami area to the Aventura Mall near the Miami- Dade – Broward County line; and the Douglas Road corridor (defined as Miami Intermodal Center (MIC) on the north to the Metrorail system to the south (in the vicinity of US-1), and from SW/NW 42nd Avenue/Le Jeune Road (SR-953) on the west to NW/SW 27th Avenue (SR-9) on the east). The last two corridors are already covered by existing plans for improvement of mass transit. The first is the major thoroughfare north to and south from downtown Miami. 

Third, the reports listed in Paragraph 4 of my March 4, 2015 request were based on questionnaires sent to the nation’s major local and regional traffic management control authorities by highly esteemed and nationally recognized traffic management organizations or scholars. It is extremely unlikely that the County was not asked to respond, and did not respond. 

• The National Transportation Operations Coalition (“NTOC”) is a group of associations interested in advancing transportation system management and operations, and sponsored the 2011 Traffic Signal Operations Self Assessment, the results of which were published as the 2012 National Traffic Signal Report Card. http://www.ite.org/reportcard/default.asp (last accessed March 14, 2015). • The Transportation Research Board, part of the National Academy of Sciences, facilitates the sharing of information on transportation practice 

Ms. Alina T. Hudak 

March 17, 2015 

Page 7 

and policy by researchers and practitioners; stimulates research and offers research management services that promote technical excellence; provides expert advice on transportation policy and programs; and disseminates research results broadly and encouraged their implementation. http://www.trb.org/-AboutTRB/AboutTRB.aspx (last accessed March 14, 2015). 

• I believe the report listed in Paragraph 4(b) of the request was widely known and recognized within the traffic management control community. 

It is simply not credible that the County and/or TS&S, responsible for managing traffic in this major metropolitan area, were not asked to respond to any of the questionnaires that led to the listed reports, or, if asked, did not do so. Again, the strong inference is that the County has simply not looked hard enough for such records. 

As additional support, beyond the nature and importance of the records, for my belief that they exist but have not been properly searched for, I wish to point out to you the requirements of State law regarding record-keeping by public agencies, including the County. 

Pursuant to section 119.021(2), Fla. Stat., the Library and Information Services Division issues General Records Schedules establishing “minimum retention requirements for record series common to all agencies or specified types of agencies based on the legal, fiscal, administrative, and historical value of those record series to the agencies and to the State of Florida.” Fla. Admin. Code Ann. r. 1B-24.003. 

The applicable Schedule for Miami-Dade County and the offices therein is the General Records Schedule GS1-SL for State and Local Government Agencies (“GR Schedule”), available at https://www.flrules.org/Gateway/reference.asp?No=Ref-04998, eff. 2/19/15. Fla. Admin. Code Ann. r. 1B-24.003. The GR Schedule contains requirements for different categories of “record series.” The following requirements are pertinent to this matter: 

ADMINISTRATOR RECORDS: AGENCY DIRECTOR/PROGRAM

MANAGER (Item #122)This record series consists of records documenting the substantive 1 “‘Record series’ means a group of related public records arranged under a single filing arrangement or kept together as a unit (physically or intellectually) because they consist of the same form, relate to the same subject or function, result from the same activity, document a specific type of transaction, or have some other relationship arising from their creation, receipt, or use. A record series might contain records in a variety of forms and formats that document a particular program, function, or activity of the agency.” Fla. Admin. Code Ann. r. 1B-24.001.

Ms. Alina T. Hudak 

March 17, 2015 

Page 8 

actions of elected or appointed program managers or agency directors. These records constitute the official record of an agency's performance of its functions and formulation of policy and program initiatives. This series may include various types of records, such as: correspondence; memoranda; statements prepared for delivery at meetings, conventions, or other public functions that are designed to advertise and promote departmental programs, activities, and policies; interviews; and reports concerning agency program development and implementation. See also “CORRESPONDENCE AND MEMORANDA: PROGRAM AND POLICY DEVELOPMENT,””DIRECTIVES/POLICIES/PROCEDURES,” and“SUBJECT/REFERENCE FILES.” These records may have archival value. RETENTION: 10 anniversary years; State agencies must contact the State Archives of Florida for archival review before disposition of records. Other agencies should ensure appropriate preservation of records determined to have long-term historical value. 

GR Schedule, 1. 

CORRESPONDENCE AND MEMORANDA: PROGRAM AND

POLICY DEVELOPMENT Item #338This record series consists of correspondence and memoranda documenting policy development, decision-making, or substantive programmatic issues, procedures, or activities. See also “ADMINISTRATOR RECORDS: AGENCY DIRECTOR/PROGRAM MANAGER,” “CORRESPONDENCE AND MEMORANDA: ADMINISTRATIVE,” and”DIRECTIVES/POLICIES/PROCEDURES.” These records may have 2 The GR Schedule explains the significance of the statement that “These records may have archival value” in the context of non-State agencies: When preparing to dispose of records that have met their required retention, carefully consider the potential historical research value of those records. Some records that do not have a permanent retention still might have enduring value to your community as evidence of the interactions between government and citizens and as sources of information about local government, society, and culture. For your convenience, we have indicated that ‘These records may have archival value’ for series that are most likely to have such historical or archival value. Not all such records will be determined to be archival; conversely, some records without this statement in the series description might have archival value. Records of historical value to your community should be preserved locally for the benefit of historians and other researchers. 

Ms. Alina T. Hudak 

March 17, 2015 

Page 9 

RETENTION: 5 fiscal years. State agencies must contact the State Archives of Florida for archival review before disposition of records. Other agencies should ensure appropriate preservation of records determined to have long-term historical value. 

GR Schedule, 10. 

DIRECTIVES/POLICIES/PROCEDURES Item #186This record series consists of the official management statements of policy for the organization, supporting documents, and the operating procedures which outline the methods for accomplishing the functions and activities assigned to the agency. The series may include, but is not limited to, such materials as employee handbooks, standard operating procedures, and correspondence and memoranda stating the policies and procedures to be followed by employees. See also “ADMINISTRATOR RECORDS: AGENCY DIRECTOR/PROGRAM MANAGER,” “CORRESPONDENCE AND MEMORANDA: ADMINISTRATIVE,” “CORRESPONDENCE AND MEMORANDA: PROGRAM AND POLICY DEVELOPMENT,” “DISASTER PREPAREDNESS PLANS,” and “DISASTER PREPAREDNESS DRILL RECORDS.” These records may have archival value. RETENTION: 2 anniversary years after superseded or becoming obsolete. State agencies must contact the State Archives of Florida for archival review before disposition of records. Other agencies should ensure appropriate preservation of records determined to have long-term historical value. GR Schedule, 10. 

SUBJECT/REFERENCE FILES Item #373This record series may contain copies of correspondence, reports, memoranda, studies, articles, etc., regarding topics of interest to or addressed by an agency or program unit. See also “ADMINISTRATOR RECORDS: AGENCY DIRECTOR/PROGRAM MANAGER.” These records may have archival value. RETENTION: Retain until obsolete, superseded, or administrative value is lost. State agencies must contact the State Archives of Florida for archival review before disposition of records. Other agencies should ensure appropriate preservation of records determined to have long-term historical value. 

GR Schedule, 37.

Ms. Alina T. Hudak 

March 17, 2015 

Page 10 

The public records requested fall within one or more of the categories of documents listed in the GR Schedule and identified above. The public records requested are required to be maintained for periods of up to ten years. Therefore, it is reasonable to believe that the County has custody of most if not all of the public records that the County, through Mr. Aira and his staff, say do not exist or cannot be found. If they do not exist, then the County has plainly failed to follow the dictates of State law in this vital area of public accountability. It simply cannot be presumed that this has occurred. 

Let me assure you and Mr. Aira, to whom a copy is being sent, that by this letter I am not intending to criticize Mr. Aira or his staff. I know that traffic problems in this County have been recently recognized by the media as a “hot” topic. I am sure he is being pulled hither and yon. Nevertheless, this situation, as well as the apparently dismal state of record-keeping, if they have negatively affected the search for responsive records, are not a proper excuse for failure to conduct a diligent search. I look you as his boss (and as Deputy Mayor) to rectify this situation. 

I would be happy to discuss this matter with you but, most importantly, I look forward to your prompt agreement to see to it that a proper search is promptly conducted and that the records that are located are promptly provided to me. 

Thank you for your consideration of this letter. 

Sincerely yours,

Richard E. Brodsky 

c: Mr. Frank Aira

The Democrats Cede the Ideas Market to the GOP - That's a Feat!

Democrats apparently failed to turn out their base in Florida and elsewhere. How much of a surprise is that given that, as usual, the Democrats did not seem to stand for anything and therefore let the Republicans frame the issues?

It seems all the Democrats talked about was “outside money.” The Koch Brothers failed spectacularly in 2012, when Obama was on the ballot. The Democrats said nothing this time to get their base voters off their couches.

The Democrats ran scared of Obama, the Affordable Care Act, and their entire legislative record. They therefore let the Republicans, who offered no program but not-Obama, totally frame the debate. 

Did Democrats say “I’m for Obama when he’s right, and he’s been right more than he’s been wrong”? Or “the Republicans want to repeal Obamacare, but are they willing to allow the insurance companies to return to the bad old days of refusing to insure people with pre-existing conditions”? 

         

Did Democrats remind people that it was the Republicans who prevented this country from rebuilding its infrastructure back in 2009 and 2010, preventing a jump-start of the economy that could have meant millions of good jobs and laid the framework for decades of economic growth, or did they run from the issue?

         

Did Democrats talk about global warming and show that Republican opposition to dealing with it created a present threat to us? 

         

Did Democrats point out that the Republicans had gutted our public health system?

          

Did Democrats defend the reforms in the financial markets and show how the Republicans threaten another financial collapse if they dismantle those reforms?

         

If so, I didn’t hear it or see it.

As usual, the Democrats seemed to be afraid of talking about ideas. As usual, they ceded the “idea market” to the Republicans. Now that was a feat.

How many times can you expect to rouse people with little more than “they’re going to take away your Medicare and Social Security!”? Is there a single Democrat who said “Yes, in the next ten years it looks like we’re going to have to make some changes to Medicare and Social Security, but there’s no need for panic now”? If so, I saw no evidence of it.

          

Democratic strategists will say that these issues are too complicated to talk about in campaign commercials. Well, if that’s the case, how do plaintiffs ever win lawsuits involving complicated scientific or financial issues? And the messages that the Democrats did deliver surely didn’t work.

[A modified version of this post appeared as a Letter to the Editor in the Miami Herald, November 8, 2014.]

Dark pools and high-frequency trading -- SHHH!!! Don't wake up the SEC or Congress!

The New York Attorney General sued Barclays Capital, Inc., a registered broker-dealer and investment advisor, and its U.K.-based parent company, Barclays PLC, for fraud. (Kudos to the excellent site, wallstreetonparade.com, for continued ongoing coverage of dark pools, etc.)

The complaint, if true, is another blood-boiler, because Barclays is portrayed a nest of lying thieves. But even if the lawsuit fails, the allegations are enough to scare the living you-know-what out of any broker-dealer or investment advisor that depends on retail brokerage customers to butter their bread. Why? Because if the average retail brokerage customer knew the perils of trading in U.S. markets today, he or she would take all their money out and put it into … oh hell, they'd probably leave it where it is and go back to sleep.

The complaint alleges that Barclays, which operated a dark pool (a vehicle for matching buyers and sellers of stock off the floor of the New York Stock Exchange), lied to institutional investors about the extent to which they would be protected against trading abuses by high frequency traders (HFTs) if they routed their orders to Barclays' dark pool.

This is 21st century fraud we're talking about with this case. We're not talking about lazy brokers recommending highly speculative stocks without adequate due diligence. We're not talking about accounting fraud creating inflated values for blue-chip stocks. We're talking about the "simple" matter of getting your stock trade executed at the best available price -- best execution. In other words, if you want to buy stock, that you pay as little as possible, and if you want to sell stock, that you get as much as possible. 

This blog post is not about the Barclays case. They either lied to institutional investors or they didn't. If they didn't, some other dark pool operator stretched the truth to attract order flow (a license to print money) did. This blog post is just a series of ruminations about dark pools, HFTs, and the ludicrousness of the idea that the SEC is effectively policing the markets to prevent trading abuses. 

Stock brokers are supposed to provide best execution to their clients. Stock exchanges are designed to provide best execution by letting all market participants know of pending buy and sell orders and by other means designed to promote transparency and liquidity. Stock exchanges are supposed to lead to best pricing (highest possible sale prices and lowest possible buy prices). But trading routed to the exchanges has dropped over the years, in part because institutional traders (with large blocks of stock to buy or sell) began seeing price transparency as a roadblock to obtaining best prices. 

The days when Mom and Pop could expect their stock purchases or sales to be routed by their stock brokers to a stock exchange are gone--long gone. If they want to, they can direct their broker to send their trade to an exchange to be executed. Except when the market is in great turmoil, there is only a small chance that it would make a big difference. If not "directed," the chance is that Mom's and Pop's order will be routed by their broker to a variety of "routing venues," such as electronic communications networks or"ECNs," alternative trading systems or "ATSs," over-the-counter ("OTC")market makers, and proprietary trading firms. Some are called "dark pools." 

An ATS is a non-exchange trading venue that matches buyers and sellers to find counterparties for transactions. "Dark pool" is not a term defined in the securities laws, but FINRA defines a dark pool as “an ATS that does not display quotations or subscribers’ orders to any person or entity, either internally within an ATS dark pool or externally beyond an ATS dark pool (other than to employees of the ATS).”  

Basically, dark pools are useful to traders of large blocks of stock who do not want publicity about their order to generate a price rise or drop in anticipation of the order's execution. As an SEC official explained to the Congress way back in 2009 in testimony presciently entitled "Testimony Concerning Dark Pools, Flash Orders, High Frequency Trading, and Other Market Structure Issues":

Traders are loath to display the full extent of their trading interest. Imagine a large pension fund that wants to sell a million shares of a particular stock. If it displayed such an order, the price of the stock would likely drop sharply before the pension fund could sell its shares. So the pension fund, assuming it could execute its trade at all, would be forced to sell at a worse price than it might have if information about its order had remained confidential.

In the not-so-distant past, the pension fund might have placed the order, or some part of it, with a broker-dealer, which would attempt to find contraside interest (whether on the floor of an exchange or by calling around to other traders), preferably without giving up enough information to move the market against its client. Information leakage about a larger order was a serious problem, and the "market impact" of large orders would impose a major cost on investors.

Historically, many dark pools developed as computerized ways of searching for contraside trading interest while preserving confidentiality. While early dark pools were designed to cross large orders, and such pools still exist today, most of the newer dark pools are designed to trade smaller-sized orders. 

Since the mid-2000s, brokers have been required to disclose to the SEC information concerning their order routing practices. What they show is that a small portion of the orders entrusted to brokers are routed to the exchanges. For many firms, the vast majority of trades go to "market centers" or other "routing venues". Often these market centers are affiliated with the broker. (Barclays runs a dark pool.) And much of the trading on all markets is now conducted by high-frequency traders (HTFs), who use advanced logarithms to place orders and pay for high-speed access to exchanges and market centers to gain precious milli-second time advantages over non HTFs.

High frequency trading, if properly limited by still-nonexistent anti-manipulative rules, can serve to make markets more efficient by providing needed liquidity to tighten spreads (the difference between high bids and low asks). But the biggest peril from the liquidity provided to non-exchange trading venues is that the liquidity can disappear immediately: HTFs can walk away from the market and stop trading on a moment's notice. But exchanges have specialists -- market-making brokers that are obligated to supply liquidity, i.e., to be a buyer when there are no buyers and a seller when there are no sellers. Exchanges can be the locus of giant price drops, but at least there is a regulatory structure designed to provide a good measure of market stability. But HTFs have no such responsibility. This can increase volatility -- the wide swings in prices in which the little guy, who is not glued to his or her computer screen, gets slaughtered. In addition, HFTs can engage in predatory practices, such as putting in mock orders that smoke out possible contra party interest, but are then pulled back--all essentially instantaneously. The SEC has long known about predatory practices by HFTs but has done little or nothing about it. It is "studying" things.

Brokers claim they monitor the trading that goes on in dark pools in order to prevent HFTs from gaining unfair advantages over other traders. TD Ameritrade, for example, claimed in an email to this blogger: "We monitor these market centers closely and very frequently, and we adjust our order-routing strategy accordingly." Maybe. But the fraud alleged in the Barclays complaint is that Barclays, in order to attract order flow from institutional clients to its dark pool, lied to potential clients about the extent of trading (labeled "predatory" or "toxic" by Barclays) by high-frequency traders in its pool. The more the level of toxic trading, the more the institutions were likely to pay more or receive less for their buys and sells.

High frequency trading and dark pools are simply products of the microchip's ability to flatten markets by getting rid of the middle man -- in this case, by narrowing the spreads between the highest bid (offer to buy) and the lowest ask (offer to sell). Unless the SEC proposes to abolish the use of microchip in the securities markets, HTFs and dark pools and the rest are here to stay. 

For what it's worth, we are probably talking about yesterday's issue. The HTFs' best days may very well be behind them, as competition among HTFs may have reduced spreads to the point where there is less money to be made by HTFs. It's part of the end of the OTC market as it long existed... middlemen squeezing a few cents from both buyers and sellers they brought together. 

Another thing is that dark pools grew into prominence because the securities exchanges allowed high-frequency traders to pay the exchanges to get special treatment and thereby trade ahead of pending orders. In the words of the New York AG's lawsuit against Barclays:

These firms pay a premium for “direct data feeds” from the public exchanges, which are high-speed data feeds that travel faster and contain more information than market data available to ordinary investors by other, less expensive means.

Those speed and technology advantages allow high frequency traders to profile
the pending orders on an exchange in order to detect the presence of large pending orders,
usually from institional investors. This “information leakage,” allows high frequency traders to trade ahead of an anticipated stock purchase or otherwise have an impact on price. Speed and technology advantages also allow for strategies that seek to exploit the small, temporary pricing dislocations in a security that occur because of differential and/or delayed access to market data.

In other words, dark pools grew partly as a refuge from predatory practices on the exchanges. Who could expect, or want, ATSs to go away under these circumstances? 

The last point is the utter irrelevance of the SEC in all of this. As usual, the SEC has been  lost in action -- just as it was in the early 2000s when another New York AG, Elliot Spitzer, "scooped" the SEC about a whole range of trading abuses, such as conflicted buy-side stock analysts, etc. 

Yes, the SEC Chair, Mary Jo White, in June of 2014, gave not one, but two speeches on HTFs, dark pools and other market centers, issuing the old bromides about protecting confidence in the market, and announcing that she had directed the SEC staff to start preparing rules designed to make things fairer. 

If anyone believes that the SEC will move vigorously and effectively and enact a set of rules that will make all better, please let me know so I can sell you some bridges. Or better yet, if you think that Congress will act, I'll sell you some dark pools after they've been overtaken by some extra-terrestial market thingy. 

In the meantime, go here for far more insightful, but somewhat dated, analyses of what has happened to the stock market in the past ten years. 

Kind of makes you long for the good old days of Bernie Madoff, market maker and execution broker extraordinaire, and the fight over decimalization. 

Why You Should Put Quotation Marks around "Iraq" for Dummies (this includes you, W)

Obama is being blamed by the Republicans for losing "Iraq". They're the ones  who insisted on invading "Iraq" in 2003 with no basis and without paying the slightest bit of attention to what "Iraq" was and what would happen after the first days of "shock and awe." Not only was there no Plan A, there was no Plan B.  So they got rid of Saddam Hussein, banned his supporters from the new "government," and handed "Iraq" over to Shia Muslims and the bastion of Shia Islam, Iran.

The idea--propagated most recently by the GOP's leading college dropout and draft dodger, Dick Cheney--that Iraq was "won" by the Americans after the surge is so ridiculous that it should not have to be rebutted. 

Here's what you need to know. It's a little more complicated than this, but this is post-doctorate scholarship compared to the bilge that W and Co. had the US swallow.

1."Iraq" was created after World War I by the British and the French from the remnants of the Ottoman Empire (France got "Syria" and Britain got "Iraq"). Borders were drawn arbitrarily and without any recognition of who was located within the borders of "Iraq" or what would be the consequences of drawing the lines.

2. "Iraq" is not and never has been a nation-state. There is not and never has been any nationalistic loyalty or dedication to a unified state. There is no and never has been any self-identification as "Iraqis" by any of the three major population groups. 

3. "Iraq" is composed of three principal groups. According to the CIA, Muslims make up about 75% of "Iraqis," of whom about 2/3 are Shia and the remainder Sunni. About 20% (all in the North) are Kurdish. The remainder are Turkoman, Assyrian, Christians, etc. 

4. The Shia hate the Sunnis, the Sunni hate the Shia, and neither group get along with the Kurds, who are massed in the north. Yes, Shia and Sunni are fellow Muslims. But their split goes back to the death of Mohammed. By God, that's over 500 years before the Magna Carta.

Iran is a Shia nation. Anyone with half a noodle understood that by our getting rid of Saddam, who was a Sunni, the main gainers would be the Shia within Iraq, and that, thereafter, the Shia, having been kept down by Saddam (and by his predecessor Sunni rulers), would ally with our enemy, Iran, and put their boot on the Sunnis' neck. And that the only real hope was a decentralized Iraq with each region consisting of and governed by one of the three main groups. (That's what's happened with the Kurds.)

Here's what Obama did wrong: instead of exposing the US to the truth--that the invasion of Iraq was stupid, stupid, stupid, and that unless the American people wanted to be exposed to the never-ending tribal strife within "Iraq," the only sensible thing to do would be to exit, stage left, and let "the market" take over--he mumbled meaningless bromides, expressed his "support for the troops," and crossed his fingers, all to avoid crossing the right wing. (Has Bob Shrum been hiding in the Rose Garden all these years?)  True, the American electorate hate to face up to the fact that sometimes there are no good choices. American "exceptionalism" creates a false sense that we never have to make choices if we don't like either option. Obama has lacked the guts to tell people the truth. Just like every other politician. Now it's his war. What a dummy.

Big, Big Law Firm's Chair Indicted for Cooking the Books in a Big, Big Way

We already knew that Dewey & LeBoeuf LLP, a "Real Big" law firm with offices in 28 cities from Tbillsi to Doha and everywhere in between, went bankrupt in 2012 amidst reports of huge upfront, undisclosed bonuses to supposed rainmakers and partner "defections" when word got around of who was sacrificing for the team and who wasn't. For a no-doubt whitewashed discussion of this wonderfully inspiring example of partnerships in action, read the truly dry discussion of the demise of the firm at pp.  19-21 of the January 7, 2013 Disclosure Statement accompanying the firm's second amended plan of liquidation.

Now truly a "Really Big Shoe" has dropped. Steven Davis, the Chair of Dewey & LeBoeuf, and the firm's top administrators, have been indicted by the New York County DA for grand larceny. They are charged with cooking the books of Dewey & LeBoeuf for four years to keep the firm afloat, during which time it borrowed hundreds of millions of dollars, which it used to pay the light bill and  secret bonuses to "laterals" who would make rain by the lake-full. The indictment reads like virtually every accountants' liability case I have ever worked on: make bookkeeping entries to turn expenses into assets, over, even better, revenues; get clients to backdate checks to make it appear that the bucks were made in year 1, not year 2 (thereby making it that much harder to make the numbers in year 2); restore previously written-off uncollectible receivables (thereby decreasing expenses and creating phony assets); reclassify of counsel salaries as partner compensation (thereby decreasing expenses); etc. 

What are we as lawyers to make of this? Yawn and move on? Well, besides that...

Do we chalk it up to a bunch of really crooked lawyers and staff who would go to great lengths to keep up the charade that this was a profitable enterprise that could afford sky-high compensation?

Or do we look deeper and see the source of this apparent crookery in the overwhelming  greed that has so infected our profession?

Let me reminisce. I graduated from Harvard Law School in 1971. This was a time of great ferment on the campus of this staid and hide-bound institution (at least then). Students demonstrated to abolish grades. When the SDS occupied University Hall on the college campus, twelve HLS students (me included) mockingly seized the library. The dean at the time, Derek C. Bok, sent in doughnuts and cider to the library "occupiers". Shortly thereafter, he became President of the University. There were many more (and more serious) indications that the social and political changes that were sweeping the nation between 1968 and 1971 had reached HLS.

On our twenty-fifth graduation anniversary, Derek Bok sent a letter to each of the Class of 1971. In it, he excoriated us for having contributed to the monetization of the law practice. The movement to force out or lower the compensation of "non-productive" partners is a very complicated phenomenon, but for this former BigLaw lawyer, now safely ensconced in solo practice, the breakup of the old model (or at least myth) that law firms were partnerships, that professionalism was the benchmark, and that pursuit of the almighty dollar, while important, was not the be-all and end-all of law practice -- that if you wanted to get really, really rich practicing law, do PI work and latch on to the biggest-paying accidents -- is a sad story all around.   

Somewhere in the 1970s, probably beginning with hostile takeovers, New York deal lawyers got damned envious looking at their banker clients get huge fees for doing not that much in issuing fairness opinions or manufacturing poison pills. The lawyers said "We want to get rich too!" So, slowly but surely, the worship of the Dollar became the accepted cultural norm. It spread like wildfire throughout the nation's big law firms, and, of course, some not-so-big.

Now it's one thing to do this with your money. Find or develop rain-makers. Have them make rain. Bill the crap out of the files. Ride your associates to bill, bill, bill. (And make sure to judge them only on their "hours." Look the other way when they cheat and put down hours they didn't really incur. Don't pay that much attention to young lawyers who can write and think and have good judgment if their hours don't meet their quota. And never, ever treat them as individual human beings.) Collect a ton of money. Pay the lawyers at the top of the pyramid huge amounts of money. And move on to the next year of that never-ending treadmill. If that's your version of a happy, fulfilling life, and you're not using anyone else's money to achieve this version of bliss, then God bless.

But it's a far different thing to do this with someone else's money. This is not new stuff. I represented the Miami partners of a national accounting firm that was devastated by changes in Wall Street in around the 1987 crash. (Yes, children, there was a crash in 1987.) The firm had borrowed money to pay the partners their accustomed compensation. (They also had two large offices in New York. But that's another story) Guess what? R.I.P. There are so many others. Finley, Kumble, for one. There was a firm that, thirty years ago, knew how to live (at least for a while) on borrowed money.

Repeat after me: Borrowing money to pay expenses is not the same as borrowing money to build a building or buy equipment. Borrowing money to pay compensation is an invitation for disaster, because if you can't earn enough to pay your partners what they "expect," and have to borrow money to make up the slack,  the margin of error before the bank calls the loan is very small. It's what the indictment said happened at Dewey.  

The real question is how much distance separates (i) making billings and collections the sole measure of a lawyer's worth, (ii) borrowing money to pay the alleged superstars, and (iii) making a few phony accounting entries to boost revenues and lower expenses so that the merry-go-round can continue to round-and-round for another year? If you think that this is alarmist, read the article in the Washington Lawyer a few years ago by Abe Krash, a veteran partner of the firm still known as Arnold & Porter (f/k/a Arnold, Porter & Fortas, for those with a long memory). It remains a dire warning to the dozens of law firms that fancy themselves as BigLaw worthies but are in a struggle to survive. And see last year's more sensationalistic article in The New Republic, which drily noted that "no relationship in the legal profession is more fraught than the one between partners and their money.").